Describe your risk. Find your hedge.

Our engine maps your exposure to the nearest available prediction market contracts.

Your Risk
Or choose one of these common scenarios:
🎤 Celebrity risk 🌧️ Weather 📦 Shipping delays ⚖️ Regulatory
Exposure Amount
$
Hedge Timeframe
1
Describe Risk
2
Review Quotes
3
Confirm Hedge

Scanning markets...

Mapping your exposure to available prediction market contracts

→ Parsing risk description
→ Querying Kalshi API (event contracts)
→ Verifying Kalshi order book depth
→ Calculating coverage ratios
→ Generating hedge quotes
Hedge Quotes Found

2 contracts matched your exposure

For: Celebrity brand partnership risk — $500k exposure — 60 days
HIGH RISK
There is no exact contract match for this exposure
The quotes above are the closest available proxies. Hérisson can submit a new market proposal on your behalf — if our aggregate client demand is sufficient, we may open a bespoke contract within 30 days.
⚡ Request bespoke contract from Kalshi →
Confirm Hedge
Contract Details
Platform Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Contract CELEBSCANDAL-MAR26-MAJOR
Resolution
Implied probability
Payout Scenarios
✦ Event occurs
Hedge pays out, offsetting your business loss.
✗ Event does not occur
Contracts expire worthless. Business succeeds. Premium was the cost of certainty.
Execution
Execution via Hérisson US entity account
Settlement Wire to your account within 48h of resolution
Monitoring Real-time dashboard + Slack alerts
Total Cost
One-time insurance premium
Hedge contracts cost
Hérisson fee (2%)
Total premium
Max payout
Coverage ratio
Cost vs. no hedge

Here's what happens under the hood.

01

You describe your risk

You tell Hérisson what event you're exposed to, how much revenue or capital is at stake, and the timeframe. This can be anything from a rainfall threshold at a festival venue to a tariff reimbursement deadline to a talent suspension event tied to a product launch.

02

Hérisson maps your exposure to a contract

We search existing prediction market catalogues for contracts that match your risk parameters. If an exact match exists, we move straight to quoting. If not, your exposure is flagged as a candidate for a new bespoke contract.

03

Demand aggregation

If no exact market exists, Hérisson pools your request with other businesses facing similar exposures — other festival operators worried about the same weekend's weather, other importers waiting on the same refund category. We present this aggregate demand signal to prediction markets on your behalf.

04

Prediction market operators make the market

Our DCM partners assess the risk parameters, calculate implied odds, and seek market-makers willing to take the other side of the contract. If the event meets their listing requirements, a publicly tradeable contract is created on their CFTC-regulated exchange.

05

You hedge and settle automatically

You purchase contracts through Hérisson's registered US entity account. If the trigger event occurs, the contract settles automatically — no adjusters, no claims process, no paperwork. Funds are wired to your account within 48 hours of market resolution.

Hérisson acts as your execution agent throughout. All positions are held in Hérisson's registered US entity account, fully collateralized on a CFTC-regulated exchange.